Thursday 16 April 2009

Phase 1 - 2009 elections [Andhra Pradesh]

The elections for the legislative assembly and the parliament were held today. Phase 1 was for the areas of the Telangana and the Uttarandhra. The voting percentage was around 60. The lowest was at the Hyderabad district.... a mere 50%.

Lets look at the voting trend. Though there is an increase in the voting %, the % increase over the previous years is not encouraging. In the Hyderabad city Lok Satta ate a larger chunk from the traditional vote bank of the TDP. The vote transfer among the vote banks of Mahakootami did not take place at the expected levels. But at least 50% transfer would ensure a thumping victory for the Mahakootami. PRP made some surprising performances in some constituencies and played the spoiler part at few other constituencies.

Prominent personalities who ran the race for the Parliament today are: and their prospects
K Chandrasekhara Rao [TRS supremo]----Win with a lesser majority when compared to his stature [might loose in the worst case that too with a margin less than 5000 votes]

Vijayasanthi [film actress turned politician, Secretary General of the TRS]---Confirmed Win
Jaipal Reddy [Union Minister and senior Congress leader]----Riding against the tide

Renuka Chowdary [
Union Minister and senior Congress leader]-----Riding against the tide

Purandareswari [
Union Minister]----Confirmed Win

T Devendar Goud [One of the senior politicians in the Telagana region]----Will loose [Might win only if there had been huge cross voting in favour of him]

K Errannaidu [Senior TDP leader, TD parliamentary party leader]-----No prediction due to the presence of PRP

Bandaru Dattathreyya [Senior BJP leader and MoS in BJP govt]----Might win as there was good % of cross voting in favour of him.

Allu Aravind [Film producer, The person who has been calling the shots in the PRP]------No idea


Famous personalities who ran the race for the assembly today are: and their prospects

K T Rama Rao [S/o KCR, General Secretary of the TRS]---Might Loose

Jayasudha [Film actress turned politician]----Might Loose as she is contesting against a strong leader Talasani Srinivas Yadav of TDP

Suresh Reddy [Speaker of the house between 2004 and 2009]-----Confirmed Win----Margin 15000-20000

Predictions for Assembly:

INC --- 60-65 [could be even more]
Mahakootami --- 60-65
AIMIM --- 7 [could be even 8]
Lok Satta + PRP + others --- 11

No predictions for Parliament